Commodity prices move up
Maize prices moved up by 1.6% this week to Rs.7150 per MT at the market yard. The prices are similar to last year at this time of the year. Average monthly price for maize was Rs.7075 per MT against Rs.7096 per MT last year. The low prices has been attributed to bird flu episode in West Bengal. GOI has clearly indicated that ban on exports or Soybean meal is not being considered. This was clarified at a meeting on Jan 30, 2008. SPOT prices at various markets are somewhat stable, while prices at Davangere (Karnataka), Nizamabad and Karinmagar (Andhra pradesh) were between Rs.7000 – 7300 per MT, prices in Raltam (Madhya Pradesh) and Nimbaheda (Rajasthan) were quoted over Rs.8300 per MT.
Pearl Millet (Bajra) prices moved down slightly by 1.3% over last week to Rs.6500 per MT and are about 4.2% lower than last year prices. Against maize the prices are lower by 8.7%. Monthly average prices for Jan 2008 were Rs.6600 per MT against Rs.6950 last year.
Sorghum (Jowar) prices also moved down by 3.4% over last week to Rs.9530 per MT, but were 10.7% higher than last year. Against maize the prices were 33% higher. Average prices for Jan 2008 was Rs.9430 per MT against Rs.8730 per MT in Jan 2007.
Barley prices moved up by 13% over last week to Rs.10509 per MT at the market yard. Prices are 11.7% higher than last year. Average price for the month of Jan 2008 was Rs.10143 per MT, much higher than last year’s Rs.8275 per MT. Barley spot spices in Jaipur market on Friday were about Rs.12000 per MT and any chances of the prices moving lower are subject to the crop harvest and availability in Mar 2008. Prices for May – July were quoted over Rs.10000 per MT.
Corn prices on Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), closed higher for March and May deliveries at $197 and $202 per MT respectively.
Zoning of poultry a must
OIE Terrestrial Animal Health Code – 2005, defines ZONE/REGION as part of a country containing an animal sub-population with a distinct health status with respect to a specific disease for which required surveillance, control and bio-security measures have been applied for the purpose of international trade.
A compartment is defined as one or more establishments under a common bio-security management system containing an animal sub-population with a distinct health status with respect to a specific disease or specific diseases for which required surveillance, control and bio-security measures have been applied for the purpose of international trade.
CHAPTER 1.3.5. in the Terrestrial Animal Health Code (2007) covers ZONING AND COMPARTMENTALISATION. For the purpose of international trade Zoning and Regionalization is same.
As per OIE, Zoning and compartmentalisation are procedures implemented by a country, within its territory for the purpose of disease control and/or international trade. While zoning applies to an animal subpopulation defined primarily on a geographical basis (using natural, artificial or legal boundaries), compartmentalisation applies to an animal subpopulation defined primarily by management and husbandry practices related to bio-security. In practice, spatial considerations and good management play important roles in the application of both concepts.
As well as contributing to the safety of international trade, zoning and compartmentalisation assists in disease control or eradication. Zoning also encourages efficient use of resources within certain parts of a country and compartmentalisation allows the functional separation of a subpopulation from other domestic or wild animals through biosecurity measures, which a zone (through geographical separation) would not achieve. Following a disease outbreak, the use of compartmentalisation may allow a country to take advantage of epidemiological links among subpopulations or common practices relating to biosecurity, despite diverse geographical locations, to facilitate disease control and/or the continuation of trade. (adapted from www.oie.int).
In view of the current status of Bird Flu in India, GOI has not accepted the demand of the poultry industry on zoning of poultry areas. Zoning has been effective in controlling Foot & Mouth Disease in India and the international trade in Buffalo meat has flourished. If it is possible to demarcate specific areas from where the demand of foreign and domestic markets is met (eg. Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu for eggs, Ajmer in Rajasthan, Parts of Haryana and Punjab also for eggs, Areas with contiguous broiler populations in Coimbatore, Pune, Bombay-Nashik etc for Broilers, ), it will help the industry in the long run.
India’s Dairy Plan – 2021
GOI has embarked on a massive plan to develop the dairy industry in India. In 2004/05 the milk production was estimated at 84 MMT (0.23 MMT/day) of which about 48% (0.11 MMT/day) was consumed by the villages and producers as per an estimate, 52% (0.12 MMT/day) was available for sale and consumption in urban areas.
Of the total milk produced in the country about 90% comes from the 325 identified high milk districts in 14 states. It is important to strengthen these and at the same time provide incentives to the other areas, which contribute 10% on the milk.
In 2007/08 India produced 100 MMT of milk (0.27 MMT/day) as per GOI. The demand of milk is rising and the demand in 2021/22 in expected to be 172 MMT as per GOI estimates, almost doubling in 17 years. It would need increments of at least 5 MMT of milk production every year, i.e., a 6% average growth to fulfil the demand in 2021/22.
The dairy sector has already covered a base and reached 100 MMT in 2007/08 against the 95 MMT estimated based on 2004/05 prediction. Taking 2007/08 as a base year, the milk production in India in 2010 is estimated at 112.48 MMT, for which atleast 56.24 MMT of balanced feed or individual ingredients will be needed. In 2015, the production would be close to 136.85 MMT requiring 68.42 MMT of feed/ingredients and for 172 MMT in 2021/22, almost 86 MMT of feed/ingredients will be required.
There is no doubt that there is a potential to produce the quantities of milk that is required. What is needed is good germ-plasm, that will increase the productivity, but that alone will not help. Proper balanced feed, management, infrastructure (collection and processing) and marketing systems are all needed to reach the target production.
GOI through a notification has finalized the protocol for the import of bovine genetics which will certainly help the sector in importing good quality semen and embryos in India, but it is also important to make the dairy farmers aware of the need to feed and manage the animals scientifically, without which it will be difficult to meet the target.
Amit Sachdev
India Representative
U S Grains Council
bluecross303@gmail.com
Maize prices moved up by 1.6% this week to Rs.7150 per MT at the market yard. The prices are similar to last year at this time of the year. Average monthly price for maize was Rs.7075 per MT against Rs.7096 per MT last year. The low prices has been attributed to bird flu episode in West Bengal. GOI has clearly indicated that ban on exports or Soybean meal is not being considered. This was clarified at a meeting on Jan 30, 2008. SPOT prices at various markets are somewhat stable, while prices at Davangere (Karnataka), Nizamabad and Karinmagar (Andhra pradesh) were between Rs.7000 – 7300 per MT, prices in Raltam (Madhya Pradesh) and Nimbaheda (Rajasthan) were quoted over Rs.8300 per MT.
Pearl Millet (Bajra) prices moved down slightly by 1.3% over last week to Rs.6500 per MT and are about 4.2% lower than last year prices. Against maize the prices are lower by 8.7%. Monthly average prices for Jan 2008 were Rs.6600 per MT against Rs.6950 last year.
Sorghum (Jowar) prices also moved down by 3.4% over last week to Rs.9530 per MT, but were 10.7% higher than last year. Against maize the prices were 33% higher. Average prices for Jan 2008 was Rs.9430 per MT against Rs.8730 per MT in Jan 2007.
Barley prices moved up by 13% over last week to Rs.10509 per MT at the market yard. Prices are 11.7% higher than last year. Average price for the month of Jan 2008 was Rs.10143 per MT, much higher than last year’s Rs.8275 per MT. Barley spot spices in Jaipur market on Friday were about Rs.12000 per MT and any chances of the prices moving lower are subject to the crop harvest and availability in Mar 2008. Prices for May – July were quoted over Rs.10000 per MT.
Corn prices on Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), closed higher for March and May deliveries at $197 and $202 per MT respectively.
Zoning of poultry a must
OIE Terrestrial Animal Health Code – 2005, defines ZONE/REGION as part of a country containing an animal sub-population with a distinct health status with respect to a specific disease for which required surveillance, control and bio-security measures have been applied for the purpose of international trade.
A compartment is defined as one or more establishments under a common bio-security management system containing an animal sub-population with a distinct health status with respect to a specific disease or specific diseases for which required surveillance, control and bio-security measures have been applied for the purpose of international trade.
CHAPTER 1.3.5. in the Terrestrial Animal Health Code (2007) covers ZONING AND COMPARTMENTALISATION. For the purpose of international trade Zoning and Regionalization is same.
As per OIE, Zoning and compartmentalisation are procedures implemented by a country, within its territory for the purpose of disease control and/or international trade. While zoning applies to an animal subpopulation defined primarily on a geographical basis (using natural, artificial or legal boundaries), compartmentalisation applies to an animal subpopulation defined primarily by management and husbandry practices related to bio-security. In practice, spatial considerations and good management play important roles in the application of both concepts.
As well as contributing to the safety of international trade, zoning and compartmentalisation assists in disease control or eradication. Zoning also encourages efficient use of resources within certain parts of a country and compartmentalisation allows the functional separation of a subpopulation from other domestic or wild animals through biosecurity measures, which a zone (through geographical separation) would not achieve. Following a disease outbreak, the use of compartmentalisation may allow a country to take advantage of epidemiological links among subpopulations or common practices relating to biosecurity, despite diverse geographical locations, to facilitate disease control and/or the continuation of trade. (adapted from www.oie.int).
In view of the current status of Bird Flu in India, GOI has not accepted the demand of the poultry industry on zoning of poultry areas. Zoning has been effective in controlling Foot & Mouth Disease in India and the international trade in Buffalo meat has flourished. If it is possible to demarcate specific areas from where the demand of foreign and domestic markets is met (eg. Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu for eggs, Ajmer in Rajasthan, Parts of Haryana and Punjab also for eggs, Areas with contiguous broiler populations in Coimbatore, Pune, Bombay-Nashik etc for Broilers, ), it will help the industry in the long run.
India’s Dairy Plan – 2021
GOI has embarked on a massive plan to develop the dairy industry in India. In 2004/05 the milk production was estimated at 84 MMT (0.23 MMT/day) of which about 48% (0.11 MMT/day) was consumed by the villages and producers as per an estimate, 52% (0.12 MMT/day) was available for sale and consumption in urban areas.
Of the total milk produced in the country about 90% comes from the 325 identified high milk districts in 14 states. It is important to strengthen these and at the same time provide incentives to the other areas, which contribute 10% on the milk.
In 2007/08 India produced 100 MMT of milk (0.27 MMT/day) as per GOI. The demand of milk is rising and the demand in 2021/22 in expected to be 172 MMT as per GOI estimates, almost doubling in 17 years. It would need increments of at least 5 MMT of milk production every year, i.e., a 6% average growth to fulfil the demand in 2021/22.
The dairy sector has already covered a base and reached 100 MMT in 2007/08 against the 95 MMT estimated based on 2004/05 prediction. Taking 2007/08 as a base year, the milk production in India in 2010 is estimated at 112.48 MMT, for which atleast 56.24 MMT of balanced feed or individual ingredients will be needed. In 2015, the production would be close to 136.85 MMT requiring 68.42 MMT of feed/ingredients and for 172 MMT in 2021/22, almost 86 MMT of feed/ingredients will be required.
There is no doubt that there is a potential to produce the quantities of milk that is required. What is needed is good germ-plasm, that will increase the productivity, but that alone will not help. Proper balanced feed, management, infrastructure (collection and processing) and marketing systems are all needed to reach the target production.
GOI through a notification has finalized the protocol for the import of bovine genetics which will certainly help the sector in importing good quality semen and embryos in India, but it is also important to make the dairy farmers aware of the need to feed and manage the animals scientifically, without which it will be difficult to meet the target.
Amit Sachdev
India Representative
U S Grains Council
bluecross303@gmail.com
1 comment:
Zoning of poultry would have helped to improve the market situations in other un-infected poultry states. I would like to know why GOI is against zoning? Does zoning affect the markets in certain states? I think GOI should seriously consider zoning this will help increased vigil especially in east & north-eastern states which are more prone to bird flu outbreaks, one reason for this might be our porus borders with Bangladesh.
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